Please note the following System Requirements. Further, please limit the number of open applications (particularly price streaming applications) while logged in to Alpha Theory™.

Recommended System Specifications
Processor: Dual Core or Quad-Core 2.4GHz or faster
Browser: Google Chrome 30+
Screen Resolution: 1280 x 1024 or greater
Internet Access: Business Class High-Speed

Minimum System Requirements
Processor: Intel Pentium-M 2.0Ghz or equivalent
Browser: Google Chrome, Mozilla Firefox, Internet Explorer 9+ (without Compatibility View), Safari
Screen Resolution: 1024 x 768 or greater
Internet Access: High-Speed

Subscribe to Alpha Theory content

Alpha Theory Blog - News and Insights

« April 2010 | Main | June 2010 »

1 posts from May 2010

May 11, 2010

The Random Walk Spoiled

A friend of mine named Manish Malhotra just had an article published in Advisor Perspective in which I contributed. The concept is based on the fact that most wealth accumulation models assume a "random walk" sequence of returns, however, the direction of the market the previous year has an impact on the subsequent year (Bayesian probability). This fact should be included in the forecast of long-term wealth accumulation. This is a critical flaw in many wealth forecasting software packages and, quite honestly, causes them to give very wrong results. Check out the article on the Advisor Perspective website.