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Alpha Theory Blog - News and Insights

20 posts categorized "Alpha Theory Press"

February 22, 2016

How Do Hedge Funds Become Better Forecasters? - A collaborative study between Novus and Alpha Theory.

We believe that one of the few untapped frontiers in Alpha Generation is measuring and putting process around forecasting.  Alpha Theory co-authored “How Do Hedge Funds Become Better Forecasters?” with our friends at Novus to explore a few ways investors can improve their process and forecasting acumen.

 

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE ARTICLE

 

Selected Quotes from the Article:

“Many investors chafe at price targets because they smack of “false precision". Those investors are missing the point because the key to price targets is not their absolute validity but their explicit nature which allows for objective conversation about the assumptions that went into them.”

“Unlike real life, investors can track every investment choice they have ever made. Being able to analyze statistically significant trends on a complex and numerate datasets is a huge advantage and is a crucial tool in avoiding the confirmation biases that anecdotal thinkers lean on when rationalizing decisions.”

“Developing a process orientation isn’t about stifling fluidity or gut feel. It is about recognizing that intuition is actually an informal process. By being able to document and empirically study past behaviors, all investors can understand flaws in their internal process.”

March 21, 2014

Dynamic factor modeling reveals hidden risks

GUEST POST FROM BENN DUNN, President of Alpha Theory Advisors:

Damian Handzy, CEO of Investor Analytics, and I developed the concept of dynamic factor modeling in this latest article on Risk.net.  We argue that traditional 3rd party vendor models do not accurately reflect many firm’s investment processes and leave measurable risk hidden.  Using beta as a common language between risk and portfolio managers, we recommend leveraging the literally thousands of listed instruments and funds to ease the process of risk measurement and hedging.

Click Here to full the article on Risk.net.

November 5, 2013

Less Correlation Gives Stock Pickers Opportunity

We’d like to welcome our first blog from Benn Dunn who runs our Risk Consulting practice. I’m a little biased, but I believe that Benn is one the smartest risk minds in investing today. Check out this article on Risk.net where he is quoted on the topic of correlation in portfolio management.

While lower correlations across asset classes and within markets are generally thought of as positive for security selection, the path to lower correlations can often be confusing.  Traditional risk models deliver confusing and difficult to interpret results during these regime shifts.  Fortunately, Alpha Theory is not dependent on trailing correlations when making portfolio construction recommendations. 

Click here to read the full article on Risk.net

 

June 21, 2012

Fox News.com Live Interview

I recently appeared on Fox News.com Live with Robert Gray discussing some of the 8 mistakes money managers make and how to fix them. I've been speaking about “The Eight Mistake Investors Make” for almost five years and these mistakes are still the most common I find amongst investors. That being said, I have seen an increased focuses on process and discipline. When Billy Beane first told the baseball world that they were mis-pricing players, it took a while for his concepts to catch on. The discipline of building portfolios based on expected return is in its infancy but just like with “Moneyball”, it is being adopted and will change the way people manage money in the future. You can see the full segment from Fox News.com Live here.

April 9, 2012

Debating Dividends – Fox Business News

I recently appeared on Fox Business News with Cheryl Casone discussing Apple's recent dividend. As I've stated in numerous posts and articles, I believe dividends are a tax-inefficient way of returning capital to shareholders. Corporate boards should encourage management teams to buy back shares instead of issuing dividends. You can check out the discussion through the Fox Business Interview here.

February 4, 2011

Alpha Theory Acquires Risk Management Consulting Firm

We just announced the acquisition of risk management consulting firm Axtell Consulting. We are really excited about having the firm and its founder, Benn Dunn, on board. 2011 is starting off on the right foot. See the press release here.

July 13, 2009

BizRadio Interview with Dan "The Money Man" Frishberg

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I was recently interviewed again by Dan "The Money Man" Frishberg on BizRadio.com.  We discussed some of the mistakes that are most common amongst investors including poor position sizing, under appreciation of downside risk, over confidence in asset selection, and inefficient use of ETFs.  The conclusion of our discussion is that many of the woes of investors could be solved by simply calculating a risk-adjusted return for every asset in your portfolio.

Radio icon  Listen To Interview:  

February 11, 2009

BizRadio Interview with Dan Frishberg and Dr. Art Laffer

BizRadio Network

I was recently interviewed by Dan "The Money Man" Frishberg and Dr. Art Laffer on BizRadio.com.  We discussed some of the mistakes that are most common amongst investors including poor position sizing, under appreciation of downside risk, over confidence in asset selection, and inefficient use of ETFs.  The conclusion of our discussion is that many of the woes of investors could be solved by simply calculating a risk-adjusted return for every asset in your portfolio.

Radio icon  Listen to interview:  

December 31, 2008

8 Mistakes Money Managers Make Article

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Cameron Hight, President and CEO of Alpha Theory was recently interviewed on Fox Business News by Liz Claman.  During the interview, Cameron discussed "8 Mistakes Money Managers Make", each of which are listed below.  Please read the article and vote for the most common mistake.  Also, please comment and let us know of other mistakes that we should address. 


  

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 Document Icon Read the full article "8 Mistakes Money Managers Make"

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Cameron Hight, President and CEO of Alpha Theory was recently interviewed on Fox Business News by Liz Claman.  During the interview, Cameron discussed "8 Mistakes Money Managers Make", each of which are listed below.  Please read the article and vote for the most common mistake.  Also, please comment and let us know of other mistakes that we should address. 


  

http://static.typepad.com/.shared:v20101111.02-0-gadbf187:typepad:en_us/js/tinymce/plugins/media/img/trans.gif

Video Icon View video of Fox Business interview

Alpha Theory Founder on Fox Business News This Afternoon

Alpha Theory Founder and President, Cameron Hight, will be featured on Fox Business News’ “Countdown to the Closing Bell” on Wednesday, December 31st at 3:40pm EST. He will be discussing a two step approach to making better portfolio decisions in 2009.

Step 1: Before making any investment, force yourself to write down your potential profit if your thesis is correct, loss if you are incorrect and the probability of each.

Step 2: Use those numbers to calculate a basic risk-adjusted return.  The math is easy and a calculator can be found on our website: www.AlphaTheory.com/calculator.

A risk-adjusted return becomes your tool to ensure that you are making a rational decision instead of relying on mental calculation and heuristics. 

For the channel near you, please go to: http://www.foxbusiness.com/channel_finder.html